PGA Shriners Childrens Open Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

We hit yet another PGA winner with Luke List coming through for us last week. The model has been excellent for the PGA.

The Shriners Children’s Open at the beautiful TPC Summerlin is next on the schedule. While this year's field might not have all the firepower of previous editions, there's still plenty to look forward to. The event has a special treat for fans, with LPGA star Lexi Thompson accepting a sponsor's invite to compete alongside the men, promising a unique showdown.

This week, we'll see a slightly smaller field of 132 golfers (compared to 144 last week), and the pressure is on. The low 65 and ties will make their way through the 36-hole cutline.

Let's take a closer look at the host venue, TPC Summerlin. This course has been a part of the event for decades, but has been the solo host since 2008. Designed by Bobby Weed with consultation from Fuzzy Zoeller, it offers a par 71 layout stretched over 7,255 yards. Don't let the yardage fool you, though – the altitude and firm conditions mean the course plays shorter than it seems. You'll find more approach shots in the 100-to-150-yard range compared to your average PGA Tour stop.

Off the tee, you'll have choices to make. As Webb Simpson once noted, this course demands strategy. It features doglegs, run-outs, and bunkers that require thoughtful navigation. On the other hand, golfers like Patrick Cantlay, who have a strong driver game, have thrived here as they gain more wedges and short iron opportunities. In essence, TPC Summerlin offers a balanced challenge, allowing both power hitters and strategic players to shine.

Regarding the turf, the fairways have been resurfaced with Bandera Bermuda, while the greens boast Dominator bentgrass. This change from the previous year's edition brings some consistency to the playing surface.

If you want insights into correlated success on the PGA Tour, consider courses like Sedgefield CC, PGA West, TPC River Highlands, Pebble Beach Pro-Am rota, and TPC Scottsdale. These courses share common characteristics of being located in the West, offering a scoring-friendly environment, and being relatively shorter in length. So get ready for the Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin – it's going to be a thrilling ride!

The model breakdown for this course is as follows
Driving Distance 24%
Putting 19%
Driving Accuracy 15%
Around The Green 15%
Approach 27%

Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 64.5% ROI.

Date	Tournament	Total Risk Units	P/L
18-May	PGA Championship	0.193	-0.193
25-May	Schwab	0.245	-0.245
1-Jun	The Memorial	0.401	0.655
8-Jun	RBC Canadian Open	0.461	-0.461
15-Jun	US Open	0.381	0.702
22-Jun	Travelers	0.313	-0.313
29-Jun	Rocket Mortgage	0.57	0.501
13-Jul	Scottish Open	0.32	0.791
20-Jul	The Open	0.546	-0.546
27-Jul	Twin Cities	0.496	-0.496
3-Aug	Wyndham	0.381	0.632
10-Aug	St Jude	0.258	0.753
17-Aug	BMW	0.312	0.751
8-Oct	Sanderson Farms	0.241	0.779
		5.118	3.31

The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.

To Win

Golfer	Odds	Book	Units Risked
Cam Davis	2200	All Books	0.045
Ludvig Aberg	1200	All Books	0.083
JT Poston	3000	BetMgM	0.033
Luke List	6000	Fanduel	0.017
Adam Svensson	4500	All Books	0.022
Davis Thompson	5500	Fanduel	0.018
Eric Cole	3500	Fanduel	0.029
		Total	0.248

Top 5

Golfer	Odds	Book	Units Risked
Callum Tarren	2000	Fanduel	0.05
Peter Kuest	1800	All Books	0.06
		Total	0.11

Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.

1. Cameron Davis
2. Callum Tarren
3. Ludvig Aberg
4. J.T. Poston
5. Alex Smalley
6. Peter Kuest
7. Luke List
8. Adam Schenk
9. Troy Merritt
10. Cameron Champ
11. Adam Svensson
12. Davis Thompson
13. Nicolai Hojgaard
14. Sam Ryder
15. Eric Cole
16. MJ Daffue
17. Joseph Bramlett
18. Nick Hardy
19. Kevin Roy
20. Andrew Putnam